up to 40cm of SNOW & Freezing rain to hit the UK within 48 hours!

The warnings keep on coming as the first significant wintry spell sets it sights on the UK.

Before we get into the detail its worth baring in mind that whilst there is a severe spell of weather expected the duration is expected to be quite short with the main timeframe for severe conditions from Saturday afternoon through till 06:00 Sunday with a return to average temperatures on Monday.

Snow, Sleet, Freezing rain and heavy rain expected!

As you can there is alot to contend with over the 18 hour period from midday on Saturday. Even before this period begins areas outside of the areas shaded red may well see some wet snow falling for a short period of time however accumulations are unlikely. 

As the bulk of the precipitation bumps into the cold air anywhere from the North Midlands Northwards need to be prepared for snow or freezing rain. Initially snow is expected but as the weather fronts move across the UK it is likely a warm layer will melt the snow as it falls however temperatures at ground level may still be at or below freezing turning this super cooled rain immediately to ice upon impact.

This phenomenon is quite rare in the UK however it can be lethal for those who are braving the elements. Black ice will form readily and trees and powerlines can be brought down under the weight of the ice. The latter may not take place due to the relatively short period of time freezing rain is expected, However slippery surfaces are almost assured so it may be worth getting out and about early if you are still looking for those Christmas presents.

Another hazard will be for any of the high travel routes, The heavy snow in these areas will be accompanied by strong winds gusting up to 60MPH with a risk of Blizzard conditions so expect some road closures. 

As for those outside of the areas shaded in red Saturday will be a blustery and wet day from around 3pm onwards before the rain clears away during the evening. This will then be followed up by a much calmer, drier day Sunday.

Met Office release HEAVY SNOW Warning! Up to 20cm expected on Saturday!

Winter has finally arrived this week with a particularly cold day expected across the UK on friday. Daytime maximums will struggle to get much above 2-4c for many of us with a widespread sharp frost expected Friday evening.

On Saturday a weather system off the Atlantic will attempt to shunt the cold air to our East. Whilst eventually this mild air will sweep right across the UK there is expected to be a spell of Heavy snowfall.

The Met Office warning issued today covers the following areas (Central Tayside & Fife, East Midlands, Grampian Highlands & Eilean Siar, North East England, North West England, SW Scotland, Lothian Borders, Strathclyde, Yorkshire & Humber) And warns of 2-5CM of snow for low levels and 10-20cms above 2-300M. 

Significant Squall line moving East across the UK!

Parts of the UK will see a short but potentially dangerous spell of weather over the next few hours.

A strong squall line has developed and is currently heading Eastwards across the UK.

As you can see from the picture many cities including  Nottingham, Sheffield, Bradford, Leeds, Newcastle, Hull and others places in the area will see some torrential rain and very strong winds for a short period of time making travelling conditions particularly hazardous.

There is also an isolated risk of the odd rumble of thunder as this strong Squall line passes. 

Flood warnings in place as further Heavy rain and Severe winds are expected!

After two days of Atlantic influenced weather the river levels are already on the rise and the forecast is for further wet and windy spells to come.

Today we had 89MPH recorded in North Wales and numerous areas seeing gusts of over 50MPH.

Tomorrow morning will see the winds continue with gusts up to 70MPH in the South West of England with wind gusts in the range of 50-60MPH elsewhere before the risk transfers to the North West of Scotland from midday onwards.

Beyong this global model predictions are pointing to further spells of strong winds and heavy rainfalls which will only increase the risk of flooding.

The flood warning information service currently has 15 flood alerts and 2 flood warnings in place for England however that number may well increase over the next 7-10 days should the forecasts verify.

UK Summer temperatures to be 5.4c Hotter!

Many reading this will probably be thinking, 5.4c hotter, Bring it on!

As we all know the UK is not the first place you think of when summery weather is what you are after with many of us heading to the Mediterranean to get that glorious sunshine.

With that in mind the prospect of saving a few quid and taking a sunshine holiday here in the UK may be a welcome prospect.

However whilst it might sound good the risks it would bring could cause more harm than good with a rise in Heat strokes for example especially for those most vulnerable.

Extreme heat during summer will also lead to Forest/Grass fires and a rise in the number of severe thunderstorms. These severe thunderstorms will result in an increased chance of major flash floods, Severe hail and damaging winds.

As for the cooler side of the year an increase in Sea levels will put homes and businesses at risk of flooding particularly during wet stormy weather with sea levels potentially rising over 1 metre!

Despite all the warnings the Met Office report does state that this would be a worse case scenario by the year 2070 and should the world reduce harmfull emissions the temperature rises expected are likely to be around 2c by 2100.

 

STORM Diana to smash Britain with winds of 80MPH! Potential STING JET to amplify winds further!

The relative calm of the last week or so is due to come to an end today as a series of powerful Low pressure systems takes aim at the UK.

By midday Tuesday wind speeds will be on the rise as will the amount of rain fall. Temperatures are also expected to rise up to 15c however given the significant wind speeds it won’t feel that pleasant.

The biggest concern for travellers on Tuesday will be that rainfall which is expected to be heavy at times.

As we go into the period for Wednesday through Friday the winds become the main concern with a chance that the fourth named storm of the season is announced by the UK Met Office (Currently a yellow warning for the period Wednesday to Thursday has been issued).

Update: The IPMA Portuguese weather service have since named this Storm Diana so it will take that name rather than the next on the list of UK Met Office named storms.

An area of Low pressure to the North West of the UK is expected to intensify bringing wind speeds of up to 80MPH across high ground in Northern England and parts of Northern Ireland and Scotland.

An additional risk for parts of England which itself will face strong winds up to 50MPH and Wales up to 60MPH come in the form of a sting jet which could Amplify wind speeds considerably for a short period of time. Should this occur wind speeds could hit 80-90MPH with damage to trees, Fences, Roof tiles etc.

Beyond that the UK is given a brief respite before further wet and windy weather is expected Sunday into Monday.

1.4 Million tonnes of Salt to keep Britain moving as councils prepare for a severe winter!

Remember last years snowy winter? You know the one, The ‘Beast from the East 1 & 2 etc’ Well it seems as though many councils have taken that on board when considering the potential risks this winter. 

Currently 94% of them have ordered either as much or more salt than they did last year in an effort to ensure all roads and pavements remain ice free this winter.

A lot of this salt will be placed in yellow bins to allow residents to grit the pavements themselves. Of course there is the option not to and see if you can watch people slipping and sliding in order to send a video in to you’ve been framed but councils are recomending you make use of them. 

So it seems as though when the North wind does blow the roads & pavements should remain clear. Well thats the plan. 

UK set to be hit with snow over the next 48hours!

Cold air has been filtering across the UK over the past 12 hours and the risk of snow is on the rise.

During the next 48 hours there will be showers of rain, sleet, hail and snow which are expected to be heavy at times. 

This coupled with a brisk wind will see the temperatures feel significantly colder than the true air temp. 

But what about that threat of snow i hear you ask…

Current model predictions expect a wintry mix with a particular risk for snowfall above 200m. Despite this certain parts of the West Midlands and Wales could see snow down to low levels during the early hours of Wednesday morning making that morning commute a little tricky.

Elsewhere parts of Yorkshire, Scottish central belt and the Scottish Highlands could all see some snowfalling for a time throughout wednesday. 

Beyond this the UK finds itself in a battle between low pressure trying to push in and High pressure situated to the North. The high pressure wants to push cold Arctic air southwards whilst powerful low pressure systems want to sweep mild air in off the Atlantic. Given the time range each model output has its own version of how this pans out but should it be high pressure we could be faced with another cold blast as we move into December.

UK facing an Easterly blast of freezing weather lasting well into December!

The UK is now on the brink of the first major cold period that could be locked in right up until Christmas. Colder air will begin filtering across the UK from sunday evening and into next week. 

Initially the risk is reserved to overnight frosts however from mid week onwards a threat of snow increases.

This first blast of cold weather is unlikely to deliver significant snowfall but it is the risk of a another exceptionally severe blast of Easterly winds as we head to the end of November and early December that could make this a notable event.

Its all being brought about by a change in the Arctic Ocsillation from a positive mode to a negative.

This will allow the blocking high to form resulting in a cold and relatively dry spell that could be difficult to break down.

Although dry conditions are favoured the UK is positioned precariously in this set up. Whilst much of Europe is dry the temperature differencial over the North Sea between the warmish waters and the bitterly cold easterly winds can lead to significant snow showers.

There is also the risk that occasional areas of low pressures will try to force the blocking high eastwards and where the two air masses collide the potential for significant frontal snowfall occurs.

At the moment details for such snowfalls cannot be forecast accurately at this time frame but the building blocks are already being put into place. With that in mind we will post an update and issue weather warnings as/if confidence on increases over the course of next week. 

Dont miss the spectacular Leonid Meteor Shower tonight!

Every year around this time we get to witness the stunning Leonid meteor shower as a result of our planet crossing the orbital path of Comet 55P/Tempel-Tuttle.

As this comet passes small fragments that litters its orbit with debris enters the Earths atmosphere resulting in the Meteor shower as the burn up on entry. 

The peak days are expected to be Saturday and Sunday night (Early morning hours predicted peak times) however each night from this evening will offer watchers the chance to see the spectacle. 

Unfortunately this years passing is not expected to be classed as a meteor storm where as many as 1000 meteors an hour can be seen however 10-15 per hour should hopefully not keep you waiting to long.