Were still over two weeks from Haloween, but it’s starting to feel like Christmas in the Rockies as snow is moving through Colorado, western Kansas and parts of northern New Mexico on Sunday.
Winter weather advisories and winter storm warnings span across eight states through early Monday in anticipation of potentially heavy snowfall and blowing snow.
Snow is falling across many parts of the Rockies and Plains on Sunday morning. The snow is the result of a strong cold front that will eventually reach as far south as the Gulf
Generally, 2 to 4 inches of snow can be expected across portions of Colorado, Nebraska, Kansas and New Mexico through Monday. The highest accumulations will be seen at the higher altitudes. The Sangre de Cristo Mountains, the Wet Mountains and the summit of Pikes Peak in Colorado could see up to 16 INCHES of snow. Strong winds will also create whiteout conditions at various times throughout the day!
For many within the area highlighted we will only see a temporary covering at best due to very marginal ground temperatures. However the further north you go or higher altitude you have then the potential is there for between 5-10cms with the very highest ground in both England & Scotland seeing in excess of 20cms!
This could be the first of many snowfalls this winter as experts such as the guys at the UK Met Office are predicting there is an increased chance for a colder than average winter.
The Long Range Weather Forecast has been released by The Old Farmer’s Almanac and it’s looking great for snow lovers!
They are predicting above average snowfall and frigid conditions. The end of November is looking the snowiest along with Mid-January and early February.
As far as temperatures go, we are warned to brace ourselves for the teeth chattering temperatures during the months of January and February for the Northeast and Midwest. A wet and rainy Winter is in the forecast across the Pacific Northwest, but plenty of warmer than average days expected across the South!
Now, it’s up to you to decide if you will be following The Old Farmer’s Almanac Long-Range Weather Forecast which has been predicted for hundreds of years. The almanac is based on a secret formula that founder, Robert B. Thomas, designed using solar cycles, climatology, and meteorology. It claims to have an 80 percent accuracy rate so the choice is yours! Nonetheless, stay warm this winter!
The blizzard of 1977 was a deadly blizzard that hit the western areas of upstate New York as well as Southern Ontario from January 28 to February 1, 1977.
Daily peak wind gusts ranging from 46 to 69 mph (74 to 111 km/h) were recorded by the National Weather Service in Buffalo, with snowfall as high as 100 in (254 cm) recorded in areas, and the high winds blew this into drifts of 30 to 40 ft (9 to 12 m). There were 23 total storm-related deaths in western New York, with five more in northern New York.
Certain pre-existing weather conditions exacerbated the blizzard’s effects. November, December and January average temperatures were much below normal. Lake Erie froze over by December 14; an ice-covered Lake Erie usually puts an end to lake-effect snow because the wind cannot pick up moisture from the lake’s surface, convert the moisture to snow and then dump it when the winds reach shore.
Lake Erie was covered by a deep, powdery snow; January’s unusually cold conditions limited the usual thawing and refreezing, so the snow on the frozen lake remained powdery. The drifted snow on roadways was difficult to clear because the strong wind packed the snow solidly. In addition to the roads becoming impassable, motorists had to deal with vehicles breaking down due to the combination of very cold temperatures, very high winds and blowing snow.
In the hardest-struck areas, snowmobiles became the only viable method of transportation. In western New York and southern Ontario, snow which was accumulated on frozen Lake Erie and snow on the ground at the start of the blizzard provided ample material for the high winds to blow into huge drifts – see ground blizzard. The combination of bitter cold, high winds, and blowing snow paralyzed areas affected by the storm. Lake Ontario rarely freezes over, which meant northern New York had to deal with considerable lake effect snow, which, when coupled with the existing snow cover and wind, created paralysis.
The winter of 1946–1947 was a harsh European winter noted for its effects in the United Kingdom, where it was the coldest winter in three centuries.
It caused severe hardships in terms of the economy, and living conditions, and gave the Conservative Party leverage to attack the Labour Party in power. There were massive disruptions of the energy supply for homes, offices and factories. Animal herds froze or starved to death. No one could keep warm, and many businesses shut down temporarily. When warm weather returned, the ice thawed and flooding was severe for most low-lying areas.
Beginning on 21 January 1947, the UK experienced several cold spells that brought large drifts of snow to the country, blocking roads and railways. It was harder and harder to bring coal to the electric power stations. Many had to shut down, forcing severe restrictions to cut power consumption, including restricting domestic electricity to 19 hours per day and cutting industrial supplies completely.
In addition, radio broadcasts were limited, television services were suspended, some magazines were ordered to stop being published and newspapers were cut in size. These measures badly affected public morale and turned the Minister of Fuel and Power, Emanuel Shinwell, into a scapegoat; he received death threats and had to be placed under police guard. Towards the end of February there were also fears of a food shortage as supplies were cut off and vegetables were frozen into the ground.
Mid-March brought warmer air to the country which thawed the snow lying on the ground. This snowmelt ran off the frozen ground straight into rivers and caused widespread flooding. More than 100,000 properties were affected and the British Army and foreign aid agencies were forced to provide humanitarian aid.
With the cold weather over and the ground thawing there were no further weather problems. The winter had severe effects on British industries, causing the loss of around 10 per cent of the year’s industrial production, 10 to 20 per cent of cereal and potato crops and a quarter of sheep stocks. The ruling Labour Party began to lose popularity, which led to their losing many seats to the Conservative Party in the 1950 election. That winter is also cited as a factor in the devaluation of the pound from $4.03 to $2.80, Britain’s decline from superpower status and the introduction of the Marshall Plan to aid war-torn Europe. The effects on the rest of Europe were also severe, with 150 deaths from cold and famine in Berlin, civil disorder in the Netherlands and business closures in the Republic of Ireland.
Scientists have shown that a severe snowfall in North America and Northern Europe in the winter of 2009-10 was caused by a rare, once-in-a-century, collision of two weather systems.
They concluded the harsh winter and heavy snow was an example of hard to predict weather events, not a change in climate.
They analysed historical snow records.
The research was published in Geophysical Research Letters.
In the winter of 2009-10 much of Northern Europe experienced heavy snow and temperatures were at the lowest they had been for nearly 30 years. At the same time, record snowfall hit Washington DC and other parts of America’s “Mid-Atlantic states”.
Some news reports took the extreme cold weather as evidence against climate change.
By analysing 60 years of snowfall measurements and satellite data, researchers concluded the anomalous weather conditions were caused by an unusual combination of an El Nino event and the rare occurrence of a strongly negative North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO).
El Nino events result from a periodic warming of the tropical Pacific Ocean coupled with changes in the atmosphere. El Ninos move storm systems in the Northern Hemisphere towards the equator. They occur every few years and can be predicted up to a few seasons in advance.
The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is climatic phenomenon resulting from shifts in atmospheric pressure between two regions above the North Atlantic Ocean. Large changes can only be forecast a week or two weeks in advance.
When the NAO enters a strongly negative phase, cold air repeatedly comes down from the Arctic. This affects eastern North America, and Western Europe.
Richard Seager, a meteorologist with the Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory at Columbia University in the US, is one of the lead authors of the paper.
“The NAO was probably as negative as it’s ever been in the instrumental record, which goes back to the early 1800s. This was a once-in-a-century type of event,” he told BBC News.
It was this combined with the El Nino event that caused the severe snowfall in North America.
“The NAO on its own doesn’t cause much precipitation in America. It just makes it cold. The El Nino makes the US wetter than normal so combined with the NAO it caused the precipitation in America to fall as snow,” he told BBC News.
The researchers also believe it is unlikely this combination will occur in the near future. Data from tree rings have shown that these same conditions caused by the same combination of weather systems happened over 200 years ago in the winter of 1783-84 in Northern Europe and North America.
Many people have concluded the extreme winter in 1783-84 was caused by the eruption of an Icelandic volcano. But the researchers believe it was caused by the same combination of weather events that caused last year’s harsh winter.
Richard Seager also believes the research is a counter to suggestions that the cold winter is evidence against climate change.
“Weather will continue to be weather. You have to average over a lot of weather to get the climate trends. There doesn’t seem to be any need to evoke anything else other than that,” he told BBC News.