Storm Angus to smash into the UK with Winds of 80MPH+

Storm Angus is currently knocking on the door for southern most Britain bringing with it the threat of strong winds, Heavy rain and possibly even some snow!

The first of the named storms to come crashing into the UK after what has been a relatively calm autumn will no doubt be a shock to the system for those caught in the worst of the conditions.
The strongest of the winds which has the potential to cause minor damage with roof tiles, Fences and power lines at risk will be for those in the far south and south east of the country.
Elsewhere it will feel breezy and wet with a large amount of rain associated with the system, Whilst for the highest parts of Wales and then later on the Peak district Snow is a possibility for a short time.

See below the UK MetOffice’s take on storm Angus.

“Storm Angus is expected to bring some very strong winds to coastal counties of southeast England for a time on Sunday morning, when gusts of 70-80 mph are possible. Be prepared for disruption to travel services, interruptions to power supplies and some damage to buildings.”

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Whilst the Chief Forecasters view was as follows…

"Angus" will move northeast across southern and southeast England during Sunday morning. Southerly then southwesterly gales are likely with storm force winds developing over the English Channel and affecting some coastal districts. Very squally showers are also expected such that isolated gusts of 70-75 mph are also possible further inland in the Amber warning area.

First Major Snowstorm to hit with fall totals of 1-2 FEET!

Minnesota snow lovers may get an inexplicable urge to ski Roseau by Saturday. Test out the trails near Thief River Falls?

Some models are printing out 1-2 FEET of snow for the Red River Valley. Residents of the Dakotas and the mountains of Wyoming and Montana may also get a chance to romp in the snow by late week. You remember snow, right?

Deep breaths. Windblown rain ends as wet snow late Friday and Friday night as a major, full-latitude trough of low pressure spins up an intense storm capable of 20-50 mph winds. This cyclone will be a subtle (yet blunt) reminder that we’re roughly 2 weeks away from “Meteorological Winter”, which runs from December 1 to March 1; historically the coldest 90 days of the year.

Relatively mild weather continues this week but as jet stream wind buckle a major storm tracks across the Plains, with rain changing to snow from west to  east during the day Friday.

GFS differs from the “Euro” (ECMWF) in terms of which areas may see the heaviest snow. This far out that’s not unusual. If you’re traveling across the northern tier states from Montana to Minnesota you want to pay attention to the  latest forecasts.

A transfusion of colder air will have much of America reaching for heavy jackets and coats (remember those?) by the weekend, but next week looks relatively quiet and storm-free.


GFS Solution: Red River Valley Snow Blitz

NOAA’s model pulls a  few flurries across central and southern Minnesota, with the heaviest snows (1-2 feet) falling on the Red River Valley. Source: WeatherBell.


Arctic Blast of cold air to bring Snow to parts of northeastern US this weekend!

The coldest air of the season so far is set to dive into the northeastern United States this weekend.

A cold front will dive southward on Friday, causing temperatures behind it to plummet well below normal for the weekend.

“A brisk northwest wind will bring an early December-like chill to the Northeast this weekend,” AccuWeather Meteorologist Max Vido said.

High temperatures from New York City, Philadelphia and Washington, D.C., will be around 10 degrees Fahrenheit below normal for mid-November. The strong northwest winds will make it feel far colder.

Saturday will be the coldest day of the weekend.

Warm clothing will be required for any outdoor activities on Friday night into Saturday as AccuWeather Realfeel® Temperatures will be in the 30s from Washington, D.C., to Philadelphia and in the 20s from New York City to Boston.

There will be a winter chill for Friday and Saturday night sporting events across the region.

In interior portions of the Northeast, Realfeel® Temperatures will fall into the teens during Saturday morning.

The cold air moving over the relatively warm waters of the Great Lakes will produce persistent cloud cover and areas of rain and snow to the southeast.

“This setup will be conducive for lake-effect rain and snow showers,”

During Friday night, light rain will change to all snow, even at lower elevations away from the immediate lakeshore, as temperatures fall below freezing, bringing a coating to areas that have the most persistent snow showers.

While snow showers will initially melt on area roadways during Friday night, slick spots may develop once temperatures fall below freezing.

Snow showers will then mix or change over to rain showers during Saturday afternoon across the lower elevations of Pennsylvania and New York state as temperatures rise above freezing. Little or no accumulation is expected.

“In the higher elevations of Pennsylvania and New York state, precipitation may stay in the form of snow all day Saturday,” Vido said.

Snow showers will also stretch into northern New England. A few flurries may even approach the I-95 corridor. Enough snow may fall to shovel, especially across the Catskills, Adirondacks and White and Green Mountains by Saturday night.

Temperatures will recover a bit on Sunday afternoon as high pressure pushes the brunt of the cold away, along with the clouds and wind. However, highs will still be below average.

Heavy Snow moving into parts of the UK!

A quick update on our post yesterday and another look at the areas at most risk.

We said yesterday about the risk posed by a large area of moisture sweeping off the Atlantic and hitting the cold air currently in situe over large parts of the UK.

This in turn is going to see the first meaningful snowfall that has the potential to cause disruption in some areas through this evening and into tomorrow.

As of the time of writing 1pm GMT the precipitation falling as snow is moving into Western parts of Scotland gradually pushing Eastwards. By around 6pm this Evening parts of Northwest England will also see the first snowflakes begin to fall. By Midnight tonight the areas shown in pink in the image below are at most risk of seeing any accumulating snow although for low ground this may only be temporary during the heaviest spells.

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The UK Met Office has released an updated warning that reads as follows…

"Rain will turn to snow in places later on Tuesday and into Wednesday morning. This could bring accumulations of 4 to 8 cm across some hilly areas of northern England and Scotland, largely above 200-300 m, with as much as 15 cm possible above 300-400 m. 

Overnight Tuesday night and into Wednesday morning, as snow peters out over Scotland, Pennine areas are expected to receive a covering of snow, largely on vegetated surfaces above 200-300 m. However, there is also the potential for 5-10 cm of snow to settle to low levels over parts of Yorkshire and down into the northeast Midlands, though with a good deal of uncertainty about this. 

Please be aware of the potential for difficult driving conditions in some areas."

The UK set for the first HEAVY snowfall tomorrow night!

Ok so the usual heard it all before etc etc will no doubt take over the comments section, But for those in the areas at risk lets take a look when and potentially how much.

As we head in to tomorrow evening an area of low pressure is set to move across the UK bumping in to all that cold air that has had us all shivering for the past few days.

As it does so we will see rain readily turn to snow for the places that are shown within the band of pink (Snow).

And without wanting to blow our own trumpet the areas shown seem very similar to those that we mentioned were at risk two weeks ago (Ok apart from Northern Ireland).

The UK & US set to face early blast of Wintry weather with HEAVY snowfalls! Posted: October 25th 2016.

So will we see settling snow?

For many within the area highlighted we will only see a temporary covering at best due to very marginal ground temperatures. However the further north you go or higher altitude you have then the potential is there for between 5-10cms with the very highest ground in both England & Scotland seeing in excess of 20cms!

ptype_42

This could be the first of many snowfalls this winter as experts such as the guys at the UK Met Office are predicting there is an increased chance for a colder than average winter.

We wait to see…

The Greatest 24-Hour Snowfalls in the USA

Snow can pile up several feet in a day’s time when conditions are ripe in many U.S. states.
In fact, 48 of 50 states have received more than a foot of snow during a single 24-hour period, according to data from NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI). Of those 50 states, 32 of them – mostly in the West, Midwest and Northeast – have had snowfalls of 30 inches or more in 24 hours.

During those extreme situations, snowfall rates are often an inch or more per hour. Thundersnow also sometimes occurs, an indication of unstable air and strong upward motion in the atmosphere, resulting in heavy snow.

States With Greatest 24-Hour Snowfall Records

Colorado leads the pack with the most extreme 24-hour snowfall record in the Lower 48 states.

If you were 6 feet tall and standing outside for 24 hours in Silver Lake, Colorado, April 14-15, 1921, you would’ve been buried by snow from head to toe. That location saw 6.3 feet (75.8 inches) of snow high in the Rockies at an elevation of 10,220 feet.

One location in Alaska, however, takes the crown for all 50 states.

Tucked away in the mountains northeast of Valdez, Alaska, is Mile 47 Camp, which was buried by 78 inches of snow in the 24 hours ending Feb. 9, 1963. Here, winter storms in the Gulf of Alaska send moisture from the Pacific into the mountainous terrain, making it an ideal spot for incredible snowfall totals.

Three other states have had 24-hour snowfalls exceeding 50 inches, and much like the top two locations, mountainous terrain also played a role in squeezing out those extreme totals.

Those states are California (67 inches in the Sierra Nevada), Washington (65 inches in the Cascades) and South Dakota (52 inches in the Black Hills).

Recent 24-Hour Snowfall Records Broken

Five U.S. states have set new 24-hour snowfall records during the past 10 years.

Connecticut is the most recent state to rewrite the record books when a location near Ansonia saw 36 inches Feb. 8-9, 2013. That new benchmark for the state was set during Winter Storm Nemo, which also hammered several other New England states with more than a foot of snow.

About two years earlier, Oklahoma set a new 24-hour snowfall record when 27 inches piled up in Spavinaw Feb. 9-10, 2011.

A single spring blizzard in March 2009 propelled two states to new 24-hour records. Pratt, Kansas, and Follett, Texas, made state history with 30 inches and 25 inches of snow, respectively, in the 24 hours ending March 28, 2009.

The fifth state to set a new record in the last decade is Nebraska, where 27 inches was measured near Dalton in the 24-hours ending Dec. 21, 2006.

Meteorologists claim this winter will see the worst Daily Express weather scaremongering in a CENTURY!

The ‘experts’ at The Daily Express weather HQ are today warning that due to unforeseen weather patterns, Known to many of us as ‘Seasons’, We are faced with cooler weather conditions with the potential for stronger winds and an increase in rainfall during December, January and Incredibly February aswell.

The Meteorologists who have just been awarded a degree in complete nonsense say we should be stockpiling food & water as getting to the shops could be near to impossible if Britain gets the expected arctic conditions.

When questioned about the past forecasts of impending Weather ‘CHAOS’ which went as far as to say we would get 100 days of snow and had just 15minutes the Chief General forecaster said “We cant be expected to be 100% accurate all of the time”,

“However new signals from the Global Nonsense System ‘GNS’ used by The Express, (Not to be confused with the far more accurate Global Forecasting System ‘GFS’ used by credible Weather Organisations) insist we have got to be right this year due to low solar output, an increase in fresh water into the North Atlantic and the fact the UK has drifted a cm further north since this time last year”.

Whatever the weather it looks like we are sure to be in for some interesting reading/BS once again.

Winter expected to be Cold!

WEATHER experts are warning Irish citizens this week that the up-and-coming winter season may actually get cold and even wet at times, all depending on the temperature and rainfall amounts.

Forecasters said the change will even affect some trees, which will lose their leaves over the coming months.

Explaining the unusual phenomenon, meteorologist Martin Byrne warned that December, January & February will probably be colder than the rest of the months in the year, and advised people to wear warmer clothes than they would in spring and summer.

“I would advise everyone in the country to buy a hat, jacket and a pair of gloves in preparation for this sudden change in climate,” he said. “These items of clothing can be purchased in any good clothes shop, and will protect you from the cold air. If you don’t have any form of heating in your home, I’d advise you to get some quick. Note: you cannot buy jumpers or jackets for houses, as they don’t make them that size.”

Along with the cold, darkness is also expected, with light dissipating earlier in the evening than in previous months.

“Motorists will have to turn their lights on to drive in the dark,” Byrne explained, demonstrating with a torch and making ‘vroom vroom’ noises while steering an imaginary wheel. “It could also rain in the dark too, so make sure your car has windscreen wipers,” he added, now moving his head side-to-side.

The winter weather is expected to last right up to January, and even Febuary, before getting slightly warmer in time for spring, which is a whole other ball game altogether.

La Nina to bring HEAVY Snowfall and Severe Cold this winter!

El Niño officially came to an end in early June, and experts are calling for a La Niña to develop in its footsteps.

La Niña is the cool counterpart to El Niño, characterized by unusually low ocean temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific.

La Niña puts emphasis on the northern jet stream while weakening the southern jet stream, keeping moisture in the northern tier of the country.

The jet stream is a narrow zone of strong winds in the upper levels of the atmosphere, separating warm air to the south and cooler air to the north.

At this point in the season, AccuWeather forecasters are predicting a weak La Niña to develop during late fall and into the winter. An area of warmer-than-normal water off the northwestern U.S. coast, nicknamed the “warm blob,” is inhibiting a strong La Niña from forming.

The pocket of warm water is expected to linger, influencing La Niña and its impacts in the United States.

Here’s what a weak La Niña could mean for the U.S.:

A developing weak La Niña will lead to an uptick in tropical activity in the Atlantic Ocean through the rest of the peak hurricane season, which ends on Nov. 30.

“Historically, some hurricane seasons that have followed a transition from El Niño to La Niña have been very active. It’s possible we could flip from one extreme to the other, from below-normal seasons the past three years to an above-normal year in 2016,” AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski said.

La Niña will suppress the westerly winds that typically disrupt tropical development in the Atlantic, giving way for more systems to form.

Transitioning into the fall, warmth could hold on late in the season across the eastern United States.

(Image credit: Accuweather)

La Niña will bring its full impacts to the U.S. throughout the winter season, Pastelok said.

In the East, snowfall is expected to be around normal. La Niña could lead to some big East Coast systems during the second half of the season.

“Areas like southern New York state and northeastern Pennsylvania that missed out on snow last year could see higher-than-normal totals this winter,” Pastelok said.

Colder-than-normal conditions are predicted to grip the northern Rockies and northern Plains over the late fall and into the winter, with some harsh spells at times.

During the coldest periods in the winter, nighttime temperatures could drop into the minus 30 to minus 40-degree Fahrenheit range.

“The wet and stormy weather that will hit the South into the fall will begin to quiet down in the winter as La Niña really kicks in,” Pastelok said.

However, the expected weak strength of La Niña will allow some moisture to sneak into the region at times.

For flood-ravaged areas like Missouri and eastern Texas, the mainly dry weather will prove beneficial.

Dry weather will exacerbate drought conditions across the Southwest. Central and Southern California could face the harshest conditions, including below-normal snowpack in the southern Sierra Nevada.

The northwestern U.S. will experience the brunt of La Niña’s impacts, leading to stormy conditions throughout the winter. However, the warm blob will limit the cold a typical La Niña would bring to the area.

Alaska could face another warmer-than-normal winter on the heels of a record-breaking season last year.