Much of Europe has had one of the mildest Autumns for many years following on the theme from the hot summer.
And the positive news is that the latest model guidance suggests this pattern is set to continue for the next two to three weeks with a large area of high pressure over Europe pumping mild air from Northern Africa through Spain, France and the UK.
Of course at this time of year it wont quite be BBQ weather however it will certainly be a welcome spell for those looking to save on the heating bills.
Unfortunately this will not come as good news to all. Ski resorts across the Alps are reporting nearly no snowfall except at the highest resorts and with opening dates just a few weeks away many are keeping fingers crossed the current pattern will break sooner rather than later.
Much of the United States has had a mild time of it lately with temperatures 2-6 degrees above average in particular around the Lakes & the North East
Those balmy days will soon be forgotten as all that looks set to change with a freezing northerly which will bring a sharp decline in temperatures next week.
The ECMWF model anticipates temperatures to nose dive from around the 6TH of the month as the first major cold incursion takes place. This spell could last well beyond then as the cold air sweeps as far South as Tennessee.
At this range details of snowfall is to far off to predict however should such a significant cold spell take shape many areas will be at risk of large snowfalls with a particular risk of large lake effect falls.
We will bring an update with more details later in the week but for now its one to be aware of
The UK has been enjoying a rather mild Autumn so far however it looks as though the UK is about to be plunged straight into winter.
As we go through the next couple of weeks the weather will be dominated by a large area of high pressure sat over the UK bringing fine days and frosty nights.
As we near the end of the month and into early November this high pressure looks set to move towards Scandinavia drawing in an bitterly cold Easterly air flow and of course a risk of heavy Snow once again.
At this stage there is still scope for change however its a weather pattern that could bring significant risks across the whole of the UK as it did earlier in the year. That spell of Easterly winds was responsible for the deaths of 17 people in the UK and 77 across Europe in total.
Despite the risks there is plenty of time for change and therefor there is alot of uncertainty. We will update you as/if the risks increase.
The ‘experts’ at The Daily Express weather HQ are today warning that due to unforeseen weather patterns, Known to many of us as ‘Seasons’.
We are faced with cooler weather conditions with the potential for stronger winds and an increase in rainfall during December, January and Incredibly February aswell.
The Meteorologists who have just been awarded a degree in complete nonsense say we should be stockpiling food & water as getting to the shops could be near to impossible if Britain gets the expected arctic conditions.
When questioned about the past forecasts of impending Weather ‘CHAOS’ which went as far as to say we would get 100 days of snow and had just 15minutes the Chief General forecaster said “We cant be expected to be 100% accurate all of the time”,
“However new signals from the Global Nonsense System ‘GNS’ used by The Express, (Not to be confused with the far more accurate Global Forecasting System ‘GFS’ used by credible Weather Organisations) insist we have got to be right this year due to low solar output, an increase in fresh water into the North Atlantic and the fact the UK has drifted a cm further north since this time last year”.
Whatever the weather it looks like we are sure to be in for some interesting reading.
The Farmer’s Almanac have published their outlook on the winter 2018/19 and the snow/cold lovers amongst you will be very happy.
Against the grain of what the NOAA predicted they infact expect a Severe winter with many Cold & snowy periods.
The NOAA expects a typical El Nino weather pattern thus leading to a generally warmer than average winter, however the Farmer’s Almanac have now thrown a completely different scenario into the mix.
COLD WINTER AHEAD!
So just how cold will it be? According to the Farmers Almanac the real teeth-chattering arrives mid-February especially in the following zones:Northeast/New England, Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, Midwest, and Southeast (yes, even the Southeast will be in the chill zone!).
The Farmers’ Almanac, which bases its amazingly-accurate long-range forecast on a mathematical and astronomical formula developed in 1818, is also predicting above-normal precipitation (lots of snow!) for the Great Lakes states, Midwest, and central and northern New England, with the majority of it falling in January and February.
We said it was going to get warm and as things stand the UK is still in the firing line for a fine few days.
From sunday onwards temperatures should be in the range of 23-28c as one last spell of hot weather looks set.
Through Monday to Wednesday there is a risk of 30c + however there is still a large amount of uncertainty regarding just how hot it will peak at.
Unlike earlier on this summer the early signs suggest this wont be around for very long with Sunday to Wednesday looking like the best of the hot spell so make sure you get out there and enjoy it if sunny weather is what your after.
Currently weather model outputs are giving different scenarios beyond Wednesday however following the most likely scenarios this will likely be the back end of the hot spell with a return to near normal temperatures.