1 METER of Snow to bury Scotland as the UK faces weeks of further snowfalls!

Remember the heavy snow a couple of weeks back, Or a couple of days ago or maybe even today?

Well theres going to be even more, Tomorrow and the day after and the day after!

Infact for parts of Scotland snow could fall every day over the next two weeks with totals in the Highlands of up to 100cms!

The snowiest spell for years looks extremely likely as the UK becomes locked in a cold yet wet pattern with regular snowfalls.

Scotland as expected will retain the coldest air so those in England, Wales, Ireland and N.I can still expect some wet and slightly less cold days however even further South snowfall will never be to far away.

Many highly rated weather models suggest snow will continue to be a threat for Scotland with 2 or 3 incursions elsewhere over the next 10 days which could produce more significant snowfalls as we head in to January.

All this is following on from a Winter that has seen many areas experience the most snow since the Bitter winter of 2010!

 

 

Warnings issued! HEAVY Snowfall set to blanket the UK as Storm Caroline opens the floodgates to bitter Arctic air!

An outbreak of freezing winter weather is expected to bring snowfall across many parts of the UK over the coming days with warnings of 20cm+ falling across many areas!

The third named storm of the season ‘Caroline’ will sweep to the East of Scotland throughout Thursday with powerful winds sending Arctic air rushing South.

These strong winds will see the bitter conditions spread south very quickly and introduce heavy snow showers which may merge to provide longer spells in certain areas by Friday.

Much of Scotland, North West England, Northern Ireland, Ireland, Wales and parts of the Midlands are at particular risk.

Initially there is the expectation that there will be varying amounts over relatively small areas as is often the case in showery set ups however on Sunday an area of Low pressure is expected to cross Southern parts of the UK bringing an organised area of snow approximately 150-200miles wide blanketing a large area with as much as 10cms on top of what may have already fallen.

The exact track of the low pressure is still to be nailed down but current model outputs would see Wales particularly hard hit.

This band of snow will finally clear the South East by around midnight with freezing temperatures leading to icy conditions for Monday morning as the mercury falls as low as -10c across the snow fields in Wales and -2 to -5c elsewhere.

 

Storm Brian about to hit Britain with Powerful 80MPH winds!

The Met Office has issued a yellow warning for the south, western England and Wales with strong winds and potential flooding predicted.

The UK and Ireland will be subjected to its second named storm of the year after ex-Hurricane Ophelia caused three deaths on Monday.

Storm Brian has been caused by a low pressure “weather bomb” in the Atlantic and will smash into UK with winds of up to 80MPH!

The latest Met Office warning reads as follows:

“Between 04:00 Sat 21st and 23:59 Sat 21st

A spell of strong winds is expected. Western and southern coastal transport routes and communities are likely to be affected by large waves and spray, with potential for flooding of properties. Some transport disruption is likely across the whole warning area, with delays to road, rail, air and ferry transport. Short term loss of power and other services is also possible, as well as damage to trees.”

Stormy weather set to continue as Storm Brian is next to smash in to Ireland followed by wales & parts of England!

Parts of the UK are reeling in the aftermath of Ophelia, However the stormy weather looks set to return in time for the weekend!

Potentially the 2nd UK named storm of the season could see winds pack a punch of 70-80MPH.

The Met Office is yet to officially name this one as there is scope for changes in the strength, However South East Ireland, Wales & the South West of England look to be in the firing line.

The timings currently see the South East of Ireland bare the brunt around 3am Saturday morning before Wales and the South West of England Face the most dangerous conditions between 6am and midday. Whilst these areas are likely to see the strongest winds during the middle of the day parts of the midlands will also see wind gusts of 40-60mph.

With time for things to change this is one storm we will keep an eye on and update you with over the next few days.

NOAA predict Ophelia could be the closest a Hurricane has ever came to UK Shores!

The National Hurricane Center’s latest update on Ophelia shows the Hurricane remaining just that incredibly close to the South West of Ireland.

The latest update which categorises Ophelia as a Cat 1 Hurricane shows a slow East North Eastward movement with the potential for further strengthening over the next 2 days on top of the already powerful 85MPH Sustained winds and gusts of over 100MPH+!

Current projections would bring the worst of the strong winds and heavy rainfall to the South West tip of Ireland with the potential for the worst storm this area has seen in many years.

The latest statement from the NOAA NWS reads as follows:

‘OPHELIA MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NORTHEASTERN ATLANTIC…

Hurricane Ophelia is centered as of 5 a.m. AST about 725 miles (1165 km) southwest of the Azores, moving toward the northeast near 3 mph (6 km/h). This general motion is expected today, followed a by faster motion toward the east-northeast or northeast on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts – a category 1 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some slight strengthening is possible over the next day or two. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km).’

Hurricane Nate could make landfall as a Cat 3 Hurricane as New Orleans evacuates!

Located over the Southern Gulf of Mexico, Nate continues to strengthen as it barrels towards the Northern Gulf Coast of the U.S.

After being upgraded to a Category 1 hurricane at 10pm CDT, Nate has continued to gradually strengthen and currently now has max winds of 80mph, with higher gusts.

Nate is likely to continue strengthening over the next 24-30hrs while it remains in a favorable low shear, moisture-rich, and thermodynamic environment.

The official NHC forecast brings Nate onshore early Sunday morning near SE LA as an 85mph CAT 1 hurricane. I will note, however, that the SHIPS model does indicate a 50/50 chance of Rapid Intensification (RI) occurring within 24hrs, a 30knot + increase in winds.

Therefore, I would prepare for a CAT 2 or 3 hurricane. This hurricane is likely to be much stronger than originally forecasted at the time of landfall.

In addition, Nate is expected to produce locally heavy rainfall and flooding, damaging hurricane force winds, isolated tornadoes (mainly North and East of the center), and dangerous storm surge.

Due to Nate’s fast forward speed, the threat of flooding has been greatly reduced, however, it still remains a threat to life and property.

In preparation of these expected impacts, local NWS Officials have issued Hurricane and Tropical Storm Watches and Warnings, as well as Storm Surge Warnings from SE LA eastward to the FL Panhandle.

These impacts are expected to arrive in the warning area by Saturday evening.

It is also important to remember that impacts from this hurricane can and will be felt well away from the center. I urge all local residents to complete preparations and/or evacuations by early Saturday.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…
* Grand Isle Louisiana to the Alabama/Florida border
* Metropolitan New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
* Morgan City Louisiana to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line Florida
* Northern and western shores of Lake Pontchartrain

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Punta Herrero to Rio Lagartos Mexico
* Pinar del Rio Cuba
* Lake Maurepas
* West of Grand Isle to Morgan City Louisiana
* East of the Alabama/Florida border to the Okaloosa/Walton County
Line.

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…
* Lake Maurepas
* East of the Alabama/Florida border to the Okaloosa/Walton County
Line
* West of Grand Isle to Morgan City Louisiana

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for…
* East of the the Okaloosa/Walton County Line to Indian Pass Florida

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* East of the Okaloosa/Walton County Line to Indian Pass Florida
* West of Morgan City to Intracoastal City Louisiana
* Isle of Youth Cuba

Major Hurricane Maria could hit the Dominican Republic head on with 120MPH+ Winds before heading towards the U.S!

Maria has been named by the National Hurricane Centre as a Hurricane and looks to pose a huge threat to many areas including the United States.

Current forecasts show rapid strengthening of the system as it barrels towards the Dominican Republic.

Other areas in its path include the Leeward Islands, St. Lucia, Antigua, Barbuda, St. Kitts, Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe, Saba and St. Eustatius, St. Maarten, St. Martin, St. Barthelemy, Anguilla, Martinique, Barbados, St. Vincent and the Grenadines.

Image: NOAA

At this range the track is still not guaranteed and landfall for the United States is something we cannot say will happen for certain, However it is something to be aware of as the latest model outputs show this to be a possibility.

Storm Aileen set to batter Britain with winds in excess of 80MPH!

Autumn is certainly here and to bring it in with a bang we have our first named storm of the season!

Aileen is set to hit the UK with winds of 50-75MPH widely with potentially over 80MPH in the more exposed areas.

The Met Office this morning released a warning for the storm…

A deepening area of low pressure will bring very strong winds across much of England and Wales during Tuesday night and into Wednesday morning. An Amber National Severe Weather Warning is in place, warning of gusts of 55-65 mph in particular across parts of Cheshire, Lancashire, Derbyshire, Yorkshire, Nottinghamshire and Lincolnshire.  Gusts up to around 75mph gusts could also be possible in exposed locations such as the coast and hills in these areas.

A Yellow weather warning for rain is also in place for parts of Northern Ireland, Northern England and Southern Scotland which warns of 30-40mm of rain falling within 6-9 hours which could cause some disruption.

Chief forecaster Frank Saunders said: “Storm Aileen is expected to bring strong winds of up to 75mph to a central segment of the UK and an Amber weather warning has been issued. As well as the strong winds, there will be some heavy rain pushing eastwards overnight which could see accumulations of 30-40mm.

The low pressure system that is bringing these strong winds will move fairly swiftly from west to east over the UK and although there will still be some disruption through Wednesday morning, the winds will ease by the afternoon leaving a day of blustery showers.”

With all the talk of Major Hurricanes the question has been will they now affect the UK?

The question is often asked whenever Hurricanes make the news and this year is no different.

So first and foremost Irma is heading into the States and will weaken rapidly to become a general area of low pressure.

Jose is expected to head north and curve back towards the UK. However this will lead to significant weakening as the cooler water temperatures will prevent Jose maintaining the strength is has right now.

Aside from this high pressure is trying to establish itself nearer to the UK over the next week which if established will divert any remnants (Which by this stage will be no more than a general area of low pressure) to the north west of the UK.

Finally just to clear up, Can the UK get Hurricanes?

The answer is a resounding “NO”.

Yes we can get hurricane force winds as many experienced in 1987 however that was not a hurricane. For an area of low pressure to be classed as such they have to form over warm waters far higher than that around the UK and have sustained winds of at least 74MPH. The later is potentially possible but the sea temps will never be high enough.

State of Emergency declared across all Florida counties as Major Hurricane Irma approaches!

Once again America is braced for another major Hurricane just days after Hurricane Harvey finally clears.

The Caribbean Islands are first to be under threat with that risk then extended to the whole of Florida where the governor has issued a state of emergency.

Yesterday he came our and said the following

“Hurricane Irma is a major and life-threatening storm and Florida must be prepared. I have continued to be briefed by the Florida Division of Emergency Management on Hurricane Irma and current forecast models have Florida in Irma’s path – potentially impacting millions of Floridians. Today, given these forecasts and the intensity of this storm, I have declared a state of emergency for every county in Florida to make certain that state, federal and local governments are able to work together and make sure resources are dispersed to local communities as we get prepared for this storm. In Florida, we always prepare for the worst and hope for the best and while the exact path of Irma is not absolutely known at this time, we cannot afford to not be prepared. This state of emergency allows our emergency management officials to act swiftly in the best interest of Floridians without the burden of bureaucracy or red tape.

In Florida, we know that the best way to protect our families in severe weather is to have a plan. I urge all Floridians to remain vigilant and stay alert to local weather and news and visit FLGetAPlan.com today as we all prepare for Hurricane Irma. We will keep monitoring and issuing updates on Hurricane Irma as it approaches Florida.”

With this in mind if you know those who live or are likely to be in Florida at the weekend make sure they are aware in order to take any precautions necessary.