A surge of hot air will lift temperatures close to or above 40°C, 104°F very widely across popular holiday destinations in the Med next week. Eastern Spain, Ibiza, Majorca, Italy, southern France and Alpine regions will roast over the next few days as temperatures climb to as high as 10-15C above average.
Widely temperatures of 40C are expected across Mediterranean throughout virtually the whole of next week
People in the area are advised to stay cool and out of the sun during peak heat hours (11:30 – 4:30) and drink an adequate amount of water. The forecast temperatures of 40-45°C, are around 10 to 15 degrees Celsius above what you would expect, and although the 30°C is still hot, this heatwave is exceptional compared to average. Signs are that this heatwave could last as long as 10 days! Stay safe!
Wildfires have ravaged parts of France and the island of Corsica as thousands of people have been forced to flee their homes in prime holiday hotspots and more than 3,000 hectares of land have been destroyed.
The French fire service reported that 10,000 people have been evacuated after the fires ravaged the south of the country.
Blazes overnight caused chaos in southern France, including the Var and Vaucluse areas, the town of Carros and also northern Corsica.
Desperate France has asked the European Union for help by supplying ten Canadair water bombers to battle the out of control flames.
More than 2,000 firefighters and 19 aeroplanes have been mobilised to deal with the vicious flames across the nation.
The fires are spreading in the peak month for summer holidays in France.
A fresh blaze is burning in Bormes-les-Mimosas, near the popular resort of Saint-Tropez.
British holidaymakers at the region’s Camp du Domaine campsite were among those evacuated.
Tourists in 1,000 camping plots were forced to leave a the fire rapidly spread.
But British tourists are warned in official travel advice about the incidences of fires in the area.
The FCO said: “Forest fires can occur anywhere in southern France during the summer months but especially along the Mediterranean coast and on Corsica.
“French authorities may evacuate areas and close roads for safety reasons.
“Be vigilant, make sure you’re familiar with local emergency procedures and follow the advice of local authorities.”
The weather for the UK is currently summed up by one word. ‘Changeable’.
But will that continue or will we join many southern parts of Europe that are seeing extremely hot temperatures?
Well to find the answer we have to look at the outputs the models are showing and weighing up the likelihood of one outcome or another.
Currently there is a tendency to bring low pressure in from the west and set up shop to the North West of Northern Ireland.
This has the net result of allowing a fairly mobile pattern to be the main influence of our weather bringing ‘Changeable’ Weather.
However secondary areas of low pressure are hinted at by the models setting up further south allowing a straight Southerly wind flow bringing that very hot air with it.
As you can from the image above the hot air is expected to be within touching distance as we head towards August.
The difficult part is to establish how far south any secondary low will head and can it stay far enough to our south west to draw up that hot feed of air.
The latest output shows the secondary low pushing east to quickly and thus bringing cooler air across the UK. The reason this occurs is due to the lack of a strong area of high pressure over France/Germany area. At this range however it is not unusual to see the model outputs under estimating the strength of high pressure and hitting the default mode and pushing the entire system through very quickly.
As we head nearer to the time we will be keeping a close on any upgrades with regards to the strength of the high over Europe to see if we can tap in to that summer weather once again.
But a high proportion of these spinning columns of air had relatively low wind speeds and did not create much damage.
The researchers from the University of Manchester have produced a map showing the prevalence of tornadoes.
It found they were much more likely in England than in other parts of the UK – and if England was taken separately, it would have one of the world’s highest rates of tornadoes, relative to its size.
It found there was a 6% chance of a tornado per year in the area between London and Reading. The researchers say that this means a tornado is likely once every 17 years.
There was a 5% likelihood in a zone from Bristol north to Birmingham and Manchester.
And there was a 4% likelihood of a tornado between north-east London and Ipswich.
But while tornadoes are relatively frequent in the UK, 95% of them are in two lowest categories of strength, classified as F0 or F1, with a maximum wind speed of 112mph.
Only one in 20 reaches the level of an F2 tornado, with speeds up to 157mph.
In 2005, an F2 tornado caused 19 injuries and damage costing £40m in Birmingham.
The scale goes up to F5, with wind speeds over 300mph, and it is these highly destructive tornadoes that can hit parts of the United States.
“Because tornadoes are capable of causing such damage it is important that we have some kind of idea where they are most likely to hit,” said Kelsey Mulder, of the university’s School of Earth, Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences.
“It seems that most tornadoes in the UK are created along long, narrow storms that form along cold fronts,” said Ms Mulder.
She says there is no simple explanation for why some areas in the UK might be more prone to tornadoes and identification could depend on eye-witness reports.
Another spell of severe weather is expected for those in the South West, Wales and the West Midlands on Friday with a large amount of rain and winds of 60mph or more!
The UK Met Office have earlier released a warning which reads:
Between 05:00 Fri 21st and 19:00 Fri 21st
A brief spell of heavy rain and strong winds could lead to difficult travel conditions, as the summer holiday season starts for some. Standing water and spray may make journeys longer, and could lead to minor surface water flooding. Winds could be sufficiently strong to cause some bridge restrictions, and bring down branches from trees. Conditions could also be hazardous for those engaged in outdoor activities.
Chief Forecaster’s assessment
Winds will increase to bring gusts of around 40 mph inland and 50 mph on coasts for a period of a couple of hours as a squally band of rain approaches. Locally gusts could be 10 mph or so stronger, especially on headlands. After a brief spell of intense rain, winds will decrease – this happening during the morning over Cornwall but not till evening in the east of the area. Around 10-20 mm of rain will fall in a short time.